Stats Don’t Mean Much

We love to pour over statistics and pass judgement on players based on the numbers.  It’s natural because it’s an easy way to qualitatively measure a players ability against his peers. 

However, the more and more I think, the more and more I’m convinced that numbers at this level (SAL), don’t really tell a great story.  There are just to many examples of guys that had average to poor numbers with the Shorebirds that have gone on to do well at the higher levels including the major leagues. 

My favorite example is Pedro Florimon.  Yes, I’m talking about the starting shortstop for the Minnesota Twins (the MAJOR league club!).  In 2007, he batted .197 in 111 games for the Shorebirds.  In 2008, he hit .223 in 81 games for the Shorebirds.  Don’t be so quick to judge.

I was recently talking to Steve Melewski from MASN and he brought up the case of Chris Tillman, yes the ace of the Orioles pitching staff.  In 2007, he pitched for High Desert (California League).  He had a 5.26 ERA in 20 starts.  Don’t be so quick to judge.

How about more recent examples.  Let’s take Tim Berry, who pitched for the Shorebirds in 2011 and 2012.  In 2011, he posted a 5.21 ERA and in 2012 he had a 5.02 ERA.  This year, he lowered his ERA to 3.85 for the Keys and is now pitching in the Arizona Fall League.  Don’t be so take to judge.

Even a kid like Jacob Pettit – a 42nd rounder that had a 4.42 ERA in 2011 for the Shorebirds.  This year, he made five appearances (four starts) in Triple-A.

Now, of course there are plenty of examples of guys that had great statistics at the lower levels and were destined.  Like, Chris Davis (or “Crush”).  In six minor league seasons, he batted .318.

My point is this – just because a guy doesn’t hit .300 or doesn’t have a 3.00 ERA don’t be so quick to rule him out. 

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